Terrorism's Implications for Preemption and Legislation: A Futurist Perspective
Abstract
The author explored how terrorism may manifest itself as a threat to America in the coming years and identified corollary implications for two concerns likely to be center stage: preemption and legislation. Beginning with an environmental scan the author determined there were overarching themes that could be impactors such as increased lethality employment of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) leveraging technology and the possibility of cooperation between terrorist organizations and other actors with common interests and enemy. Based on these themes the author then identified two impactors the likelihood of WMD employment and technology to construct a futurist scenario forecast model. As a result of the model the author proceeded to construct a possible scenario and story reflecting results. Finally as a result of the scenario outcome and story the author explored strategic policy implications and considerations regarding preemption and legislation.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 19, 2004
- Accession Number
- ADA424517
Entities
People
- Lyle W. Cary
Organizations
- United States Army War College