Models for Transmission and Control of Bioterroristic Epidemics

Abstract

A deterministic model for control of a bioterrorist epidemic in a large nonhomogeneous population is presented. Primary considerations in model development are the representation of a large nonhomogeneous population of individuals and the implementation of the model for quick numerical execution. The model represents the effect of mass pre-vaccination and mass vaccination during the epidemic. It is recognized that the vaccination can result in life threatening complications. The model also represents the effect of tracing and quarantining as control options. The model has been implemented in Java for a Web-based educational tool. Numerical examples (pp. 12-15) illustrate possible behavior of populations exposed to such a disease as smallpox. Various disease controls such as vaccination and case tracing are studied.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2004
Accession Number
ADA425373

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Gaver Jr.
  • Gregory Bullock
  • Patricia A. Jacobs
  • Robert Simons

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Applied Mathematics
  • Differential Equations
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Diseases And Disorders
  • Epidemics
  • Health
  • Health Care
  • Health Services
  • Homeland Security
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Mathematical Models
  • Medical Personnel
  • Operations Research
  • Poxviridae Infections
  • Security
  • Side Effects
  • Vaccination

Fields of Study

  • Biology
  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Infectious Disease/Epidemiology

Technology Areas

  • Biotechnology