The Centre of Gravity Network Effects Tool: Probabilistic Modelling for Operational Planning

Abstract

The centre of gravity (COG) Network Effects Tool (COGNET) uses Bayesian networks to represent the COG causal structure. Its impact analysis capability facilitates the determination of the critical vulnerabilities that have to be degraded or negated to influence the COG. COGNET provides a modelling framework and a generic model database to aid knowledge reuse and knowledge transfer. Its graphical user interface is tailored to the military user and provides a user-friendly capability for populating and interacting with the models. In this report we discuss the methodology, development and implementation of the COGNET suite. The importance of this work is that it uses existing planning process concepts to facilitate the construction of comprehensive models in which uncertainties and subjective judgements are clearly represented, thus enabling future re-use and traceability.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2004
Accession Number
ADA426715

Entities

People

  • Jayson Priest
  • Lucia Falzon

Organizations

  • Defence Science and Technology Group

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayesian Networks
  • Center Of Gravity
  • Command And Control
  • Computational Science
  • Databases
  • Game Theory
  • Graphical User Interface
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Military Planning
  • Operations Research
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reasoning
  • Simulations
  • User Interface

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Database Systems and Applications

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy