Comparisons of Transport and Dispersion Model Predictions of the European Tracer Experiment: Area-Based and Population-Based Measures of Effectiveness
Abstract
In October 1994, the tracer gas perfluoro-methyl-cyclohexane (PMCH) was released over a 12-hour period from a location in northwestern France and tracked at 168 sampling locations in 17 countries across Europe (100s of kilometers). This release, known as the European Tracer Experiment (ETEX), resulted in the collection of a wealth of data. IDA has obtained the predictions of 46 transport and dispersion models from 17 countries from the Joint Research Centre, European Commission as well as the PMCH sampling data. This paper applies a previously described user-oriented measure of effectiveness (MOE) methodology to evaluate the predictions of the 46 models against the long-range ETEX observations. The paper extends previous work by computing MOE values that are based on "true" areas (e.g., in square kilometers) and on actual European population distributions. The overall objective of this paper is to document the procedures used to estimate the area-based and population-based MOE values.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 2004
- Accession Number
- ADA427807
Entities
People
- James F. Heagy
- Nathan Platt
- Steve Warner
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses