Representation and Recognition of Uncertain Enemy Policies Using Statistical Models

Abstract

In this work we extend from the single agent to the on-line multi-agent stochastic policy recognition problem using a network structure. By using knowledge of agents interrelations we can create a policy structure that is compatible with that of a hostile military organisation. Using this approach we make use of existing knowledge about the military organisation and thereby strongly reduce the size of the hypothesis space. In this way we are able to bring down the problem complexity to a level that is tractable. Also, by using statistical models in policy recognition we are able to deal with uncertainty in a consistent way. This means that we have achieved improved policy recognition robustness. We have developed a proof of concept Bayesian Network model. For the information fusion purpose, we show with our model that it is possible to integrate the pre-processed uncertain dynamical sensor data such as the enemy position and combine this knowledge with terrain data and uncertain a priori knowledge such as the doctrine knowledge to infer multi-agent policy in a robust and statistically sound manner. 1.0

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2004
Accession Number
ADA428402

Entities

People

  • Robert Suzic

Organizations

  • Swedish Defence Research Agency

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Computational Science
  • Czech Republic
  • Doctrine
  • Environment
  • Maneuverability
  • Military Applications
  • Military Commanders
  • Military Organizations
  • Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Recognition
  • Situational Awareness
  • Uncertainty

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Agent-Based Social Robotics and Mobile-Assisted Learning in Virtual Environments.
  • Theoretical Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • Space
  • Space - Space Objects