Modeling Casualty Sustainment During Peacekeeping Operations
Abstract
Casualty forecasts for peacekeeping operations allow assessment of the medical resources and personnel needed to support these missions. This report develops a methodology for estimating the casualties that will occur in such operations. Data were extracted from electronic sources detailing the duration, force size and fatalities for United Nations peacekeeping missions, and killed-in-action (KIA) rates were then computed Accounts of peacekeeping incidents in which casualties were sustained were recorded and used to estimate wounded-in-action (WIA) casualty rates. Other data sources were reviewed to derive rates for disease and non-battle injury (DNBI) incidence during peacekeeping missions. The resulting methodology uses the anticipated threat level, force size and estimated operational duration to forecast the expected number of KIA, WIA and DNBI casualties for peacekeeping operations. The distributional properties of casualty occurrence were also investigated to project the number of casualties at various probability levels.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Oct 09, 2003
- Accession Number
- ADA433831
Entities
People
- Christopher G. Blood
- Gregory J. Walker
Organizations
- Naval Health Research Center