Projection of Patient Condition Code Distributions Based on Mechanism of Injury
Abstract
The Medical Readiness and Strategic Plan 1998-2004 requires that the military services develop a method for linking real world patient load data with modern patient condition codes to enable planners to forecast medical workload and resource requirements. Medical planners and logisticians utilize modeling and simulation tools to plan for medical contingencies based on anticipated patient streams, availability of evacuation assets, mix of health care providers, adequacy of the local infrastructure and the volume of needed medical materials. Determination of the likely distribution of injuries and illnesses during combat operations is a particularly critical component to the assessment of the needed medical resources required at the various levels of medical care. The objective of the proposed effort is to more accurately project patient streams contingent on the likely weapons that US forces will encounter in future combat operations. By incorporating causative agents and their prospective impacts, a refinement of current patient stream projections is possible. Presently, patient stream estimations are based on the expected trauma categories derived from casualty distributions observed in previous operations. It is the goal of this effort that the likely distribution of expected causative agents be derived prior to estimating the expected trauma categories.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 2003
- Accession Number
- ADA434281
Entities
People
- Christopher G. Blood
- Gregory J. Walker
- James M. Zouris
Organizations
- Naval Health Research Center