Analysis of the Air Force Equipment Replacement Forecasting Method

Abstract

The Air Force forecasts requirements to replace current in-use Air Force managed support equipment. There are two needs for the replacement forecast: to provide budget estimates for equipment needs 1 7 years into the future, and to execute equipment buy (and repair) actions. The current system does not collect sufficient data to forecast replacements; however, it is not clear if any system could forecast replacement requirements accurately enough to develop a bottom-up (at the national stock number [NSN] level) budget forecast for the program objective memorandum (POM) years, even if the system collected all the relevant data. More likely, the Air Force could develop an aggregate forecast by major air command (MAJCOM) or type of support equipment that would more accurately forecast the replacement dollars needed, but not the individual items that need to be replaced. We believe the Air Force can significantly improve its replacement computation for execution (buy and repair) by using current replacement requisition data to update the computation.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2005
Accession Number
ADA442123

Entities

People

  • Douglas J. Blazer

Organizations

  • LMI

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Additives (Chemicals)
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Equipment
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Budget Estimates
  • Budgets
  • Combat Support
  • Computations
  • Control Systems
  • Delphi Method
  • Lead Time
  • Maintenance
  • Military Equipment
  • Procurement
  • Reliability
  • Weapon Systems

Readers

  • Aerospace logistics and air mobility.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Logistics and Supply Chain Management.