Dynamic Course of Action Decision Tool

Abstract

This report summarized the results of an effort aimed at developing a Predictive BattleSpace Awareness, PBA, capability for Time Sensitive Targeting. The DCOAD, Dynamic Course of Action Decision, tool integrates the PBA process with the air battle plan to predict the likelihood of Time Sensitive Target occurrence, the likelihood of their discovery, the likelihood that once discovered, they can be successfully attacked, and the overall probability that TSTs can be successfully countered given the configuration of the daily air battle plan. DCOAD is a tool that generates prediction and presents them in a form of probabilistic maps, indicating the likelihood of TST occurrence in a given geographical area and the strike and ISR coverage in those areas. These maps are overlaid on a situational display to provide the operators with information regarding "gaps" in TST coverage. The report includes information on the DCOAD predictive models, software architecture, system architecture, and the operational utility of the tool.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2006
Accession Number
ADA444711

Entities

People

  • Jonathan P. Stucklen
  • William Sexton Iii

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Algorithms
  • Command And Control
  • Computations
  • Databases
  • Estimators
  • Graphical User Interface
  • Information Systems
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Software Design
  • Software Development
  • Spiral Development
  • Targets
  • Warfare

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Geospatial Intelligence and Artificial Intelligence Analytics
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.
  • Statistical inference.