Syria: Reassessing U.S. Approach and Options
Abstract
Syria's support to the Iraq insurgency and Washington's inability to ameliorate the regime's behavior, or to achieve its other national interests with regard to Syria, threaten America's Middle East objectives. However, Syria now appears vulnerable as it contends with waning control of Lebanon, internal political and socio-economic challenges, and increasing international pressure and isolation. Syria's vulnerability has led to a hard-line U.S. policy approach and growing calls for regime change. However, unintended consequences of regime change could exacerbate U.S. ability to attain its regional objectives. Furthermore, Syria's vulnerability presents new options and opportunities to refine U.S. national strategy to achieve interests and ends without resorting to regime change. This research project begins by analyzing U.S. interests regarding Syria and the strategy for achieving them, and assessing current effectiveness in accomplishing them. The study then examines the benefits and risks of forcing a regime change versus pursuing a strategy of engagement and incentives, combined with selective diplomatic and economic pressure and threat of force, to achieve U.S. aims. The following analysis suggests that regime change may be unnecessary and counterproductive. Finally, based on the preceding analysis, the author makes recommendations for refining U.S. strategy in applying national power to achieve U.S. interests with Syria.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 06, 2006
- Accession Number
- ADA449255
Entities
People
- Robert W. Meeks
Organizations
- United States Army War College