Modeling Army Applicants' Job Choices: The Enlisted Personnel Allocation System (EPAS) Simulation Job Choice Model (JCM)

Abstract

To ensure that the EPAS Field Test Simulation provides a realistic and unbiased evaluation of the optimization potential of EPAS, a model simulating Army applicants' job choice decisions is needed. This report summarizes development and evaluation of an empirically-grounded Job Choice Model (JCM), which relates applicants' aptitude scores, demographic characteristics, and job opportunity attributes (including monetary incentives) to their actual choices. As with real-world applicant decisions, it will be possible under the JCM for a given applicant to decide not to join the Army (not access). Similarly, if the applicant elects to join the Army (access), the JCM can simulate the applicant's choice of one of the many MOS reception-station date (job) opportunities from their job list. By sequentially modeling actual applicants' choice behavior, the JCM provides a realistic approximation of applicants' decision-making processes for simulation purposes. Evaluation of the JCM demonstrates that the model effectively simulates applicants' job choice decisions.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2006
Accession Number
ADA458765

Entities

People

  • Michael Ingerick
  • Paul Sticha
  • Tirso Diaz

Organizations

  • Human Resources Research Organization

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Contracts
  • Education
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Field Tests
  • Geographic Regions
  • Management Personnel
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Research
  • Motivation
  • Optimization
  • Personnel Management
  • Probability
  • Simulations
  • Social Sciences
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Training

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Systems Analysis and Design