Computing Normalizing Constants for Finite Mixture Models via Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling (IMIS)

Abstract

We propose a method for approximating integrated likelihoods in finite mixture models. We formulate the model in terms of the unobserved group memberships, z, and make them the variables of integration. The integral is then evaluated using importance sampling over the z. We propose an adaptive importance sampling function which is itself a mixture, with two types of component distributions, one concentrated and one diffuse. The more concentrated type of component serves the usual purpose of an importance sampling function, sampling mostly group assignments of high posterior probability. The less concentrated type of component allows for the importance sampling function to explore the space in a controlled way to find other, unvisited assignments with high posterior probability. Components are added adaptively, one at a time, to cover areas of high posterior probability not well covered by the current important sampling function. The method is called Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling (IMIS).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 30, 2003
Accession Number
ADA459853

Entities

People

  • Adrian Raftery
  • Mary J. Emond
  • Russell J. Steele

Organizations

  • University of Washington

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  • Biomedical

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Fields of Study

  • Computer science
  • Mathematics

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  • Analytical Chemistry
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Finite Element Method (FEM) for solving Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)

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  • Space