Approved Methods and Algorithms for DoD Risk-Based Explosives Siting

Abstract

The Safety Assessment for Explosives Risk (SAFER) model was developed to provide a more comprehensive assessment of the overall risk associated with explosives operations and storage. The SAFER model calculates risk in terms of the statistical expectation for loss of life from an explosives event. Three components are multiplied to estimate annual maximum probability of fatality, P(f), and the expected fatalities, E(f): (1) the probability of an explosives event, P(e), (2) the probability of a fatality given an event, P(f/e), and (3) the average exposure of an individual, E(p). The purpose of this technical paper is to present the underlying logic and algorithms used in risk-based explosives safety analyses, as implemented in the Safety Assessment for Explosives Risk (SAFER) Version 3.0 model.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 02, 2007
Accession Number
ADA463571

Entities

People

  • John A. Hall
  • John W. Tatom
  • Meredith J. Harwick
  • Robert G. Baker

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter IED
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accidents
  • Air Force
  • Computational Science
  • Construction
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Employment
  • Explosions
  • Explosives
  • Health Services
  • Manufacturing
  • Materials Laboratories
  • Materials Processing
  • Materials Science
  • Medical Personnel
  • Personnel Management
  • Risk Analysis

Readers

  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Electrical Engineering