Dynamic Influence Nets: An Extension of Timed Influence Nets for Modeling Dynamic Uncertain Situations

Abstract

This paper proposes structural and parametric enhancements in the Timed Influence Nets (TINs) based framework for modeling Effects-Based Operations (EBO). The existing TIN framework does not have the capability to model the impact of different sequences of actions. Thus, no matter what the sequence of action is, the final outcome remains the same. Furthermore, it is assumed that the influence of an event on another event is stationary, i.e., the influence remains the same throughout the campaign. Both of these constraints may turn out to be unrealistic in many real world situations. The enhancements proposed in this paper would overcome the above two limitations. The proposed structural enhancement would enable a system modeler to model the impacts of different sequences of actions on the desired effect; while the parametric enhancements would aid the mathematical modeling of time-varying influences. Together these enhancements make it possible to model the impact of repetitive actions in a dynamic uncertain situation.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2005
Accession Number
ADA463925

Entities

People

  • Alexander H. Levis
  • Sajjad Haider

Organizations

  • George Mason University

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Air Strikes
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Command And Control
  • Decoding
  • Equations
  • Information Processing
  • Intelligent Systems
  • Intervals
  • Military Research
  • Models
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Reasoning
  • Time Intervals

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design