Analytical Support Capabilities of Turkish General Staff Scientific Decision Support Centre (SDSC) to Defence Transformation
Abstract
Future military force structure will be the result of present decisions based on judgments about the size and character of the threat and on the resources available to develop and maintain forces. The expected size and type of the threat, the desired rate at which forces should be committed, the length of time they should be sustained, the autonomy desired for the forces and the expected performance of weapons compared to those of potential adversaries are major force-structure judgments. The assessed size and type of threat clearly affects the desired overall size of forces. The desired rate of force commitment determines the readiness of the force, which refers to the level of training, the peacetime operational and maintenance tempo, the required stockpiles of ammunition and spare parts. Autonomy of forces means the degree to which they can operate without foreign forces, weapons, or bases and infrastructure, and the extent to which the Nation will allow itself to use foreign technology. Quantitative estimates of the combat potential of armed forces have been undertaken with added rigor beginning in the 1960s, using the power of computers and macro modeling. A problem that endures to the present was that the modeling involved was necessarily macro in scope. Treating this change of scope as the essential difference either battle, wartime or weapon procurement modeling, military operations researchers struggled to add detail to these models. Operations Research (OR) Community built successively more complicated models, traded verisimilitude for opacity, and in the end failed to achieve anything commensurate with the effort. The analytical support capabilities of Turkish Scientific Decision Support Center to Defense Transformation will be determined and some of the current modeling and simulation support will explicitly identified in this paper.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 01, 2005
- Accession Number
- ADA472012
Entities
People
- Altan Oezkil
- Ziya Ipekkan