Terrorism Risk Modeling for Intelligence Analysis and Infrastructure Protection

Abstract

When are terrorists likeliest to attack next? Will they use chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) weapons or resort to sabotage or conventional attacks? What locations and facilities will they target? What economic impact would a conventional attack on a piece of critical infrastructure have in comparison with a nuclear attack? The Office of Intelligence and Analysis (OI&A) at DHS is responsible for using information and intelligence from multiple sources to identify and assess current and future threats to the United States. This report documents the results of analysis using a risk-analysis tool, the Risk Management Solutions (RMS) Probabilistic Terrorism Model, to help OI&A with this challenge.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2007
Accession Number
ADA474679

Entities

People

  • Henry H. Willis
  • Samuel Neill
  • Scot Hickey
  • Terrence K. Kelly
  • Tom LaTourrette

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter IED
  • Cyber
  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Commerce
  • Databases
  • Department Of Homeland Security
  • Explosives
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Health Services
  • Homeland Security
  • Infrastructure
  • Intelligence Analysis
  • Intelligence Cycle
  • Personnel Management
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Terrorism
  • United States
  • Urban Areas

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Critical Infrastructure Protection in CBRN and WMD Threats.
  • Strategic Security Studies