Victory is Not Possible; Defeat is Not an Option: The US, Iraq and the Middle East

Abstract

Victory in Iraq was to have many faces. Prior to the invasion of Iraq, the US argued that the strategic implication of regime change would be threefold. The intervention would overthrow Saddam Hussein's Baathist regime, rendering Iraq free and democratic and no longer a threat to its neighbors. It would act as a demonstration model to deter other axis of evil states from attempting to gain WMD and supporting terrorists. It would precipitate domino democratization throughout the Middle East. The capacity for compromise demonstrated in the formation of the Iraqi government in April 2005 following the Purple Revolution (the 30 January 2005 elections) represents the unleashing of a democratic ethic, a democratic spirit throughout the Middle East. The Cedar Revolution in Lebanon, women's rights in Gulf States (the appointment of a cabinet minister in Kuwait in June 2005), reforms in Egypt under President Mubarak, the February-April 2005 municipal elections in Saudi Arabia and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza in August-September 2005 are all cited in support of this contention. The destruction and dislocation in Lebanon as a result of the Israeli-Hizbullah conflict that erupted in July 2006 is described by US President George W. Bush as a moment of opportunity and by US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice as the birth pangs of new Middle East .4 She stated: I have no interest in diplomacy for the sake of returning Lebanon and Israel to the status quo ante. I think it would be a mistake. What we are seeing here, in a sense, is the growing the birth pangs of a new Middle East and, whatever we do, we have to be certain that we re pushing forward to the new Middle East, not going back to the old one.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2006
Accession Number
ADA478912

Entities

People

  • Graeme P. Hurd

Organizations

  • George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Civil War
  • Criminals
  • Department Of Defense
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Foreign Policy
  • Governments
  • Middle East
  • Military Organizations
  • National Governments
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Organizational Structure
  • Political Systems
  • Sectarian Violence
  • Societies
  • Terrorism
  • Terrorists

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security