Dynamic Mental Models in Weather Forecasting

Abstract

There are many definitions, descriptions, and usages of the term "mental model." Frequently, the definition of mental model is not described, leaving what the author means as an exercise for the reader. I propose a very explicit definition for a dynamic mental model and then show how that definition can be applied in the domain of meteorological forecasting. Specifically, I suggest that a dynamic mental model is a mix of images and propositions, relies on qualitative and spatial relationships, allows dynamic, runnable results to be inspected, and results in an inference. Finally, I offer suggestions on how to improve the usefulness of the term mental model.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2004
Accession Number
ADA480241

Entities

People

  • J. Gregory Trafton

Organizations

  • United States Naval Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Behavioral Sciences
  • Cognition
  • Cognitive Science
  • Cognitive Systems Engineering
  • Delphi Method
  • Educational Psychology
  • Meteorology
  • Psychology
  • Reasoning
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML