A Solution for Bilateral Negotiations in the Navy Detailing Process: Cognitive Agents Technology Project

Abstract

We present a model for bilateral negotiations that considers the uncertain and dynamic outside options. Outside options affect the negotiation strategies via their impact on the reservation price. The model is composed of three modules, single-threaded negotiations, synchronized multi-threaded negotiations, and dynamic multi-threaded negotiations. These three models embody increased sophistication and complexity. The single-threaded negotiation model provides negotiation strategies without specifically considering outside options. The model of synchronized multi-threaded negotiations builds on the single-threaded negotiation model and considers the presence of concurrently existing outside options. The model of dynamic multi-threaded negotiations expands the synchronized multi-threaded model by considering the uncertain outside options that may come dynamically in the future. Results show that the utility of a negotiator improves significantly if she considers outside options, and the average utility is higher when she both considers the concurrent outside options and foresees future options.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2008
Accession Number
ADA486084

Entities

People

  • Cuihong Li
  • Joseph Giampapa
  • Katia Sycara

Organizations

  • Carnegie Mellon University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Commerce
  • Computational Science
  • Electronic Commerce
  • Equations
  • Machine Learning
  • Mathematical Analysis
  • Military Research
  • Naval Personnel
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Robotics
  • Students
  • War Colleges

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Parallel and Distributed Computing.
  • Strategic Security Studies