Specific Communication Network Measure Distribution Estimation

Abstract

A new method is proposed to estimate the probability distribution of specific communication network measures. Real world communication networks are dynamic and vary based on an underlying social network, thus reliably estimating network measures is challenging. Two individuals that are socially connected may communicate several times one day, and not at all on another, yet their basic relationship remains unchanged. In this situation, estimates of network measures, such as density, degree centrality and others may be severely affected by the occurrence or absence of observed communication ties between individuals. The communication network of a group of mid-career Army officers is modeled from empirical data using the network probability matrix (NPM) proposed by McCulloh and Lospinoso (2007). The NPM provides a framework to model a communication network by estimating the edge probabilities between two individuals in a network. This framework can model a specific social group regardless of their network topology: random, small-world, scale-free, cellular, etc. Monte Carlo simulation is used with the NPM to generate 100,000 instances of the communication network. A statistical distribution is fit to the density measure. Using this probability distribution, statistically significant changes in density can be detected.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 17, 2008
Accession Number
ADA486892

Entities

People

  • Daniel P. Baller
  • Joshua Lospinoso

Organizations

  • United States Military Academy

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Data Science
  • Data Sets
  • Information Science
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Network Science
  • Network Topology
  • Normal Distribution
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Simulations
  • Social Networks
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistical Distributions
  • Statistical Tests
  • Surveys
  • Topology
  • United States Military Academy

Readers

  • Agent-Based Social Robotics and Mobile-Assisted Learning in Virtual Environments.
  • Computer Networking
  • Statistical inference.