Framing Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Resolution: Understanding the Reasons for Failure and Assessing the Future

Abstract

Despite a 14-year-old cease-fire in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, troops from Armenia, Azerbaijan, and the so-called Nagorno-Karabakh Republic still occupy trenches on a 500-mile long line of contact that sees near-daily cease-fire violations. While many criticize the conflict resolution efforts of the OSCE Minsk Group, the United Nations, and the European Union, the gloomy outlook for a peace deal cannot be blamed on international or regional organizations. The standoff between the parties to the conflict is a reality of the complex history of the Caucasus and the post-conflict developments on the political and security scenes there. The genocide of approximately one million Armenians in the Ottoman Empire in 1915 and only two decades of independence for Armenians over the past millennium make it extremely difficult for Armenia and the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic to see any benefit in making major concessions, such as returning to Azerbaijan the seven territories still controlled by the ethnic Armenians. A continuing standoff may be the best hope, as an ongoing arms race points towards renewed war.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 05, 2008
Accession Number
ADA493722

Entities

People

  • Russell L. Grimley

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Air Force
  • Azerbaijan
  • Christianity
  • Ethnic Groups
  • European Union
  • Genocide
  • Governments
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Law
  • National Security
  • Negotiations
  • Security
  • United States
  • Ussr
  • War
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
  • Political Science/ International Relations/ European Studies