Modeling the Economic Impacts of Large Deployments on Local Communities

Abstract

The Global War on Terrorism has required the large scale deployment of active-duty troops to support operations in Afghanistan and Iraq. This thesis presents an economic analysis of the impacts these deployments have had on local communities as measured by changes in local retail sales. County level data from Colorado, Kansas, North Carolina, and Tennessee were combined with open source deployment information to construct panel models. Panel model analysis is a form of regression that combines cross-sectional and time-series dimensions. Seasonality and general economic conditions were also incorporated into the model. The goal of this research is to provide an empirical model to community leaders and federal agencies that addresses the potential effects of continued deployments. The results of this research have demonstrated that the deployment of brigade size units decrease the level of retail sales in a county by 0.3 percent, which leads to losses in local governmental revenue.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2008
Accession Number
ADA493801

Entities

People

  • Aaron L. Gregory

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Air Force
  • Base Closures
  • California
  • Civilian Personnel
  • Commerce
  • Cost Analysis
  • Descriptive Analytics
  • Economic Analysis
  • Economic Impact
  • Employment
  • Geography
  • Military Personnel
  • National Security
  • North Carolina
  • United States
  • Urban Areas

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Government and Public Administration Law.
  • Military Mobilization and Reserve Forces Studies.