Some Methods for Scenario Analysis in Defence Strategic Planning

Abstract

Scenarios are an important tool in the strategic planning process, and are increasingly used in both the Defence and business world. This paper describes some potentially useful scenario analysis methods for systematically selecting and developing future scenarios. The processes of each method are illustrated with small examples. We also demonstrate a single, flexible approach to combining these methods using a typical Defence strategic planning problem. Some general guidelines to consider when choosing and using an appropriate scenario analysis method are also discussed.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA498161

Entities

People

  • Madeleine Dunn
  • Minh-tuan Nguyen

Organizations

  • Defence Science and Technology Group

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Application Software
  • Australia
  • Commerce
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Department Of Defense
  • Environment
  • Equations
  • Goal Programming
  • Humanitarian Assistance
  • Integer Programming
  • Linear Programming
  • Mathematical Models
  • Operations Research
  • Spreadsheet Software

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Systems Analysis and Design