Robust Sensitivity Analysis for the Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization (JIEDDO) Proposal Selection Model

Abstract

Throughout Operations Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom, the Department of Defense (DoD) faced challenges not experienced in its previous military operations. The enemy's unwavering dedication to the use of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) against the coalition forces continues to challenge the day-to-day operations of the current war. The Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization's (JIEDDO) proposal solicitation process enables military and nonmilitary organizations to request funding for the development of Counter-Improvised Explosive Device (C-IED) projects. Decision Analysis (DA) methodology serves as a tool to assist the decision maker (DM) in making an informed decision. This research applies Value Focused Thinking (VFT), a specific methodology within DA, to the JIEDDO proposal selection process to assist DMs in filtering out proposals that do not meet desired C-IED objectives. This research evaluated the validity of the previously developed JIEDDO Proposal Value Model to address the following questions: (1) Does the value model adequately reflect JIEDDO's decision process; and (2) Given the dynamic environment of the current war, how confident can we be in the model's ability to continually and effectively screen proposals based JIEDDO's current values? The author utilizes multivariate techniques to investigate JIEDDO's ability to make consistent decisions within their proposal evaluation process. Once it has been determined that the model effectively screens proposals, it is possible to proceed with the second question. By consolidating and applying n-way sensitivity analysis techniques, the author proposes a consistent sensitivity analysis image profiling technique.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA499984

Entities

People

  • Christina J. Willy

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter IED
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Data Science
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Explosive Devices
  • Explosives
  • Factor Analysis
  • Governments
  • Improvised Explosive Devices
  • Information Science
  • Military Operations
  • Operations Research
  • Thinking
  • United States
  • United States Government

Readers

  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.
  • Munitions and Ordnance Engineering
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.