Creating Multi Objective Value Functions from Non-Independent Values

Abstract

Decisions are made every day and by everyone. As these decisions become more important, involve higher costs and affect a broader group of stakeholders it becomes essential to establish a more rigorous strategy than simply intuition or "going with your gut". In the past several decades, the concept of Value Focused Thinking (VFT) has gained much acclaim in assisting Decision Makers (DMs) in this very effort. By identifying and organizing what a DM values VFT is able to decompose the original problem and create a mathematical model to score and rank alternatives to be chosen. But what if the decision should not be completely decomposed? What if there are factors that are inextricably linked rather than independent? In the past several years, Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) have quickly become the number one killer of American troops overseas. To this end the Joint IED Defeat Organization worked to create a VFT model to solicit and grade countermeasure proposals as candidates for funding. While much time and care was put into soliciting a valid VFT hierarchy from the appropriate DM, it does not represent the only option. With JIEDDO as an example this paper examines a strategy to better reflect a DM's combined values in a way which is understandable to the DM and maintains a level of mathematical rigor.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA500459

Entities

People

  • Christopher D. Richards

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter IED
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Base Closures
  • Classification
  • Department Of Defense
  • Explosive Devices
  • Explosives
  • Hierarchies
  • Improvised Explosive Devices
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Organizations
  • Models
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Thinking
  • Two Dimensional

Readers

  • Munitions and Ordnance Engineering
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.