Peace through Trade: An Analysis of the Effect of Domestic Trade on International Conflict and Civil War

Abstract

This thesis examines how different levels of domestic trade affect the intensity of conflict within and between states. Specifically, the thesis utilizes a cross-sectional analysis of pooled time-series data, both previously collected conflict data sets and published economic data, to test the hypothesis. The data are analyzed by conducting a correlation analysis followed by linear regression of the independent and dependent variables, controlling for certain variances between the cases by utilizing control variables. The findings reveal that high levels of domestic trade decrease a state's propensity to initiate an inter-state dispute or to fall into civil war. The policy implications of the findings are that advancing domestic trade will have the greatest statistical effect on decreasing a state's propensity to initiate an inter-state dispute or fall into civil war.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA501691

Entities

People

  • Horst D. Sollfrank Jr.

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Civil War
  • Correlation Analysis
  • Data Science
  • Data Sets
  • Economic Development
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • International Conflicts
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • International Security
  • National Security
  • Political Science
  • Regression Analysis
  • Statistical Analysis
  • United States
  • War

Readers

  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Strategic Security Studies