The Effects of Observation and Intervention on the Judgment of Causal and Correlational Relationships

Abstract

Recent theories of causal judgment describe it as a two-stage process involving a heuristic stage and an analytic stage. The present study evaluated discrimination of causal and correlational relationships using observation and intervention tasks. Results show that participants' causal judgments reflected the objective sample correlations in the observation tasks rather than the probabilities in the intervention tasks. This suggests that people are more sensitive to objective correlations than underlying causal probabilities.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 28, 2009
Accession Number
ADA504445

Entities

People

  • Amanda M. Kelley
  • Jeremy R. Athy

Organizations

  • United States Army Aeromedical Research Lab

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Body Weight
  • Chemical Compounds
  • Cognition
  • Cognitive Science
  • Detection
  • Information Operations
  • Information Overload
  • Information Processing
  • Instructions
  • Judgment
  • Military Operations
  • Plant Growth
  • Psychology
  • Reasoning
  • Regression Analysis
  • United States

Fields of Study

  • Psychology

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Regression Analysis.