A Comparative Analysis of Toxicity Models

Abstract

Four toxicity models are compared to asses the significance of using different toxicity models for military medical planning. The four models examined are Haber's law, the integrated toxic load model, the mean concentration toxic load model, and a two-compartment toxico-kinetic model. All of these models are applied to the same hypothetical attack scenario and the personnel exposed in the attack are classified into categories according to casualty status and injury severity. For this scenario, Haber's law was found to predict the greatest number of casualties, while the mean concentration toxic load model predicted the fewest, 32% fewer than Haber's Law. The integrated toxic load model and the two-compartment toxico-kinetic model predicted the same number of casualties for the scenario investigated. A discussion of the resulting casualty estimates provides insight into the conditions under which the different models may lead to different results.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 2008
Accession Number
ADA506567

Entities

People

  • Alison E. Lawrence
  • Jeffrey H. Grotte
  • Julia K. Burr
  • Lucas L. Laviolet
  • Scott L. Weinrich

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Casualties
  • Chemical Biological Radiological And Nuclear Defense
  • Chemical Warfare
  • Chemical Warfare Agents
  • Classification
  • Differential Equations
  • Equations
  • Experimental Data
  • Fatalities
  • Law
  • Medical Personnel
  • Military Medicine
  • Nerve Agents
  • Regression Analysis
  • Therapy
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Toxicology/Environmental Toxicology