Rare Events

Abstract

JASON was asked by the Department of Defense (DoD) to conduct an evaluation of the nation's ability to anticipate and assess the risk of rare events. 'Rare events' specifically refers to catastrophic terrorist events, including the use of a weapon of mass destruction or other high-profile attacks, where there is sparse (or no) historical record from which to develop predictive models based on past statistics. This study was requested by the Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment (SMA) program, which is part of the Joint Staff/J-3, STRATCOM/GISC, and the Rapid Technology Program Office within the Department of Defense Research and Engineering.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA510224

Entities

People

  • Dale McMorrow

Organizations

  • MITRE Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Computational Science
  • Data Mining
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Detection
  • Engineering
  • Game Theory
  • Governments
  • Human Behavior
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Mathematical Models
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • United States Strategic Command
  • Warning Systems

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.