Growing Global Migration and Its Implications for the United States

Abstract

This National Intelligence Estimate focuses on the growing global movement of people and its implications for the United States. It is a follow-on study to "Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future with Nongovernment Experts," published in December 2000. "Global Trends 2015" examined the broad features of the changing security environment and identified key global drivers and their likely impact over the next 15 years. Migration will move higher on the policy agendas of many countries -- including the United States -- as new waves of legal and illegal migrants, asylum-seekers, and refugees flee poverty, conflict, and persecution in their native lands. The latest U.S. census underscored this trend in the United States, and it is undoubtedly taking place elsewhere as well. Rising migration will provide challenges and opportunities to both sending and receiving countries. Sending countries will benefit from emigrant remittances, for example, but they will lose some of their more industrious people, while returning immigrants can play both constructive and disruptive political roles. In the richer receiving countries, migration will alleviate demographic and labor force shortfalls, but it also will add to social and cultural tensions. This National Intelligence Estimate focuses on the following: (1) The causes and likely social, economic, political, and security consequences of global migration of all types on key sending and receiving regions and countries; (2) The willingness and ability of governments to control migration; (3) The scale of direct migration pressures on the United States, the impact of other countries' migration policies on such pressures, and the extent to which some countries may try to use migration as leverage in bilateral relations; and (4) The broader implications for the United States of migration trends and the migration policies of other countries.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2001
Accession Number
ADA511660

Entities

People

  • David F. Gordon
  • Demetrios Papademetriou
  • George C. Fidas

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter WMD

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Central America
  • Commerce
  • El Salvador
  • Employment
  • Ethnic Groups
  • European Union
  • Health Services
  • Immigration Control
  • International Relations
  • National Security
  • Natural Disasters
  • North America
  • Personnel Management
  • Social Welfare
  • Undocumented Noncitizens
  • United States
  • Ussr

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.