MBES Transition to NAVO
Abstract
This work supports development of a mine burial prediction capability to be transitioned to the US Navy. State-of-the-art, high-resolution process models are synthesized by a statistical prediction tool (the Mine Burial Expert System--MBES), which relates uncertainty in model input to uncertainty in the predicted mine burial. This work will produce more detailed and more accurate mine burial predictions than are currently available. In addition, the use of Bayesian statistical approach to the problem provides an ability to quantify the risk of encountering any degree of burial. This effort facilitates the transition of the MBES from the developers (JHU/APL) to the users (NAVO). Specific objectives in support of this goal include (1) evaluation the statistical and numerical implementation of the MBES; (2) development of an objective definition of mine burial that includes a useful notion of risk; (3) development of a meaningful method to display predictions of mine burial and risk; (4) implementation of mine burial predictions over a map region; (5) comparison MBES burial predictions to corresponding NAVO prediction; and (6) evaluation the predictive skill of the MBES in an operational setting.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 2007
- Accession Number
- ADA514907
Entities
People
- Nathaniel G. Plant
Organizations
- United States Naval Research Laboratory