Forecasting United States Marine Corps Selected Reserve End Strength

Abstract

This thesis developed a manpower model to forecast Selected Marine Corps Reserve end strength by forecasting losses with exponential smoothing. The data came from the Reserve Manpower Model (legacy model) and the results were compared with the historical strength data to determine if the research model provided more desirable results. This model is specific to the Marine Corps Selected Reserve. The proposed model's predictions were closer to actual strength numbers than the legacy model's predictions were, as measured by standard deviation and range.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2010
Accession Number
ADA518556

Entities

People

  • Nathan N. Emery

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Congress
  • Data Centers
  • Department Of Defense
  • Descriptive Analytics
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • Manpower
  • Marine Corps
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Public Policy
  • Spreadsheet Software
  • Standards
  • Statistics
  • Training
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Naval Personnel Management