Strategic Entry Deterrence and Terrorism: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Abstract

Using a two stage rent-seeking framework, we present a simple model of strategic entry/terrorism deterrence and test the model using laboratory experiments. Our contest success function highlights the potential for strategic spillovers. The theory illustrates that, relative to a cooperative outcome, negative externalities lead to over-spending on deterrence and positive externalities lead to under-spending on deterrence. Our experimental results are broadly consistent; subjects in the negative externality treatment had higher expenditures. In contrast to theoretical predictions, participation decisions, while primarily driven by the probability of winning a contest, were influenced by a subject's ability to participate in multiple contests.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA518776

Entities

People

  • John Cadigan
  • Pamela M. Schmitt

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Antiterrorism
  • Counterterrorism
  • Deterrence
  • Economics
  • Experimental Design
  • Game Theory
  • Governments
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • Motivation
  • Political Science
  • Recreation
  • Social Sciences
  • Terrorism
  • Terrorists
  • United States
  • United States Naval Academy

Readers

  • Game Theory.
  • Strategic Security Studies