Disruptive Civil Technologies: Six Technologies With Potential Impacts on US Interests Out to 2025
Abstract
To support the development of the National Intelligence Council's Global Trends 2025, SRI Consulting Business Intelligence (SRIC-BI) was asked to identify six potentially disruptive civil or dual use technologies that could emerge in the coming fifteen years (2025). A disruptive technology is defined as a technology with the potential to causes a noticeable - even if temporary - degradation or enhancement in one of the elements of US national power (geopolitical, military, economic, or social cohesion). The six disruptive technologies were identified through a process carried out by technology analysts from SRIC-BI's headquarters in Menlo Park, California, and its European office in Croydon, England. Through a process of online discussions, clustering, development of technology descriptors, screening, and prioritizing, analysts down-selected from 102 potentially disruptive technologies. They identified the following six technologies as most likely to enhance or degrade US national power out to 2025: 1) Biogerontechnology, 2) Energy Storage Materials, 3) Biofuels and Bio-Based Chemicals, 4) Clean Coal Technologies, 5) Service Robotics, and 6) The Internet of Things
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 01, 2008
- Accession Number
- ADA519715
Entities
Organizations
- SRI International