Predictive Modeling of Marine Mammal Density from Existing Survey Data and Model Validation Using Upcoming Surveys

Abstract

To meet the information needs of the Navy and other users of the marine environment, cetacean density is modeled as a continuous function of oceanographic variables for 12 species in the California Current Ecosystem (CCE) and 15 species in the Eastern Tropical Pacific (ETP) based on line-transect surveys conducted from 1986 to 2003. Models are validated with new survey data from 2005 and 2006. To evaluate effects on models, different modeling approaches, different sample scales, different interpolation, methods, and different sources of habitat information were exploded. The effect of seasonal changes in cetacean density was also investigated. Final models for all years were incorporated into a software system that will allow users to estimate density for all cetaceans in any user-defined area within the CCE and ETP study areas. Stratified density estimates are also included in the software system for those species for which density modeling was not possible. Our models and associated software will greatly improve the ability to estimate the density of cetaceans within these study areas.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA520699

Entities

People

  • Elizabeth A Becker
  • Ignacio L. Vilchis
  • Jay Barlow
  • Jessica V. Redfern
  • Karin A. Forney
  • Lisa T. Balance
  • Megan C. Ferguson
  • Paul C. Fiedler
  • Tim Gerrodette

Organizations

  • National Marine Fisheries Service

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Birds
  • Cells
  • Climate Change
  • Data Science
  • Fish
  • Fisheries
  • Habitats
  • Information Processing
  • Information Science
  • Oceanography
  • Odontocetes
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Surveys
  • Wildlife

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Acoustical Oceanography.
  • Space/Atmospheric Physics.
  • Urban Planning and Geography.