Range Safety Application of Kernel Density Estimation

Abstract

This report describes the kernel density estimation technique and its application to range safety applications. The kernel density estimation technique is shown to be suitable for developing probabilistic risk assessments from ground impact data generated for guided weapon systems via Monte Carlo simulations. An advantage of this technique is that it can be used to predict the probability density function for minimal simulated ground impacts with apparently random distribution. Several techniques have been proposed to ameliorate the identified limitations of the kernel density estimation technique, including a covariant form for two-dimensional data. Analysis of the available simulated guided weapon ground impact data has identified that around six hundred impact points are sufficient for generating a probability distribution.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2010
Accession Number
ADA522670

Entities

People

  • Duncan Fletcher
  • Gary Glonek
  • Jeremy Mcmahon
  • Michael Jokic
  • Michael Rumsewicz
  • Oleg Mazonka
  • Timothy Staniford

Organizations

  • Defence Science and Technology Group

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Applied Mathematics
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Guided Weapons
  • Impact Point
  • Information Science
  • Mathematics
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Range Safety
  • Software Development
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Two Dimensional

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Calculus or Mathematical Analysis
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation