Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis with Respect to Bounds of Truncated Distributions (PREPRINT)

Abstract

Bounds on variables are often implemented as part of a quality control program to ensure a sufficient pedigree of a product component and these bounds may significantly affect the product's design through constraints such as cost, manufacturability and reliability. Thus, it is useful to determine the sensitivity of the product reliability to the imposed bounds. In this work, a method to compute the partial derivatives of the probability-of-failure and the response moments, such as mean and the standard deviation, with respect to the bounds of truncated distributions are derived for rectangular truncation. The sensitivities with respect to the bounds are computed using a supplemental "flux" integral that can be combined with the probability-of-failure or response moment information. The formulation is exact in the sense that the accuracy depends only upon the numerical algorithms employed. The flux integral is formulated as a special case of the probability integral for which the sensitivities are being computed.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 2010
Accession Number
ADA523916

Entities

People

  • H. Millwater
  • Y. Feng

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Algorithms
  • Data Science
  • Information Science
  • Integrals
  • Kernel Functions
  • Manufacturing
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Random Variables
  • Reliability
  • Sampling
  • Sensitivity
  • Standards
  • Truncation

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Control Systems Engineering.
  • Industrial Economics
  • Operations Research