Removal of Saddam: The End of an Era

Abstract

This paper presents some brief thoughts on the "landscape" in the Persian Gulf today and the potential impact of a war with Iraq on this landscape, and then identifies a variety of strategic and policy challenges that I see emerging in a post-Saddam era. In 1989 the Berlin wall came down, auguring a new era known euphemistically as the "post cold war" world. The world saw a variety of political and economic reforms around the globe as part of this new environment. Various artificial entities split apart and others came together, creating unity in some places and horrific conflicts in others. The world became both a safer and a more dangerous place. The removal of Saddam will represent the end of an era in the Gulf and, in my opinion, will go down as the equivalent of the crumbling of the Berlin wall in the region. As was the case in 1989, forces that have been pent up for the last 20 years-"the era of Saddam"-will unleash themselves in ways that will be difficult to predict. These "unintended consequences" will pose a broad strategic challenge to the existing order in the region, the United States and the wider international community.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 20, 2003
Accession Number
ADA525404

Entities

People

  • James A. Russell

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Arabia
  • Berlin
  • California
  • Cold War
  • Communities
  • Domestic
  • Governments
  • Gulfs
  • Information Operations
  • Middle East
  • Military Capabilities
  • Military Operations
  • Military Personnel
  • National Security
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Security
  • United States

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
  • Strategic Security Studies