Optimizing Crisis Action Planning in the Noncombatant Evacuation Operation Setting
Abstract
The purpose of this research was to improve the understand of and insight into the Noncombatant Evacuation Operation (NEO) system as doctrinally described in Joint Publication 3-68 and executed by European Command Plans and Operations Center with the strategic goal to increase command resource efficiency and decrease evacuation time. Further, the research objectives included improving the joint planners' insight into building more robust contingency and operational plans; highlighting chokepoints, bottlenecks, flow limiters, and options to quicken queues; and identifying resources and transportation mediums that display the most sensitivity to policy changes. These objectives were addressed by exploring topics in NEOs, evacuation planning, queueing systems, and modeling techniques and applications-- particularly in computer simulation. The method chosen to model the NEO system and thus achieve the research objectives was a discrete event simulation model translated by the use of the Arena? simulation software. The model was developed by using a 12-Step simulation study procedure. Due to the lack of sufficient input data, the created model was able to be fully validated; yet several insightful results were gleaned from the planned experiments. Specifically, the model was unable to replicate a NEO's complexity and identify several areas where evacuee flow is constrained. It also highlights how to more effectively distribute command-controlled resources.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2010
- Accession Number
- ADA526641
Entities
People
- Aimee N. Gregg
Organizations
- Air Force Institute of Technology