Predicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis

Abstract

The long-term goal of this project is to provide probabilistic tropical cyclone (TC) genesis forecast guidance to operational forecasters and use the genesis index to provide guidance for initializing a high-resolution mesoscale model prediction for tropical cyclone genesis. Once regions of high TC genesis probability are identified, the identified regions will be suggested for the use of a moving, multi-nested version of the COAMPS-1/TC with horizontal resolution of roughly 3 km or less in the innermost grid for the prediction of the genesis event.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2009
Accession Number
ADA531304

Entities

People

  • James Hansen
  • Melinda S. Peng
  • Tim Li

Organizations

  • United States Naval Research Laboratory

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Biological Phenomena
  • Composite Materials
  • Cyclones
  • Ecological And Environmental Phenomena
  • Ecological And Environmental Processes
  • Electronic Mail
  • Guidance
  • High Resolution
  • Humidity
  • Information Operations
  • Meteorological Phenomena
  • Military Research
  • Probability
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Validation

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology