Quantifying Sensible Weather Forecast Variability

Abstract

Sensible weather occurs on small scales and the development and evolution of these small scale features depends strongly on the larger scale environment. Synoptic scale variability is represented by the individual members in a well-designed ensemble modeling system. The objective of this research is to quantify the local scale variations in sensible weather elements, like fog, due to larger scale variability. The sensitivity of selected weather elements to synoptic scale background variance will be quantified to identify when local scale predictability may be high or low.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2009
Accession Number
ADA531855

Entities

People

  • Wendell A. Nuss

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Algorithms
  • Availability
  • Classification
  • Contracts
  • Environment
  • Information Operations
  • Instructions
  • Meteorology
  • Monitoring
  • Personal Information Managers
  • Probability
  • Security
  • Sensitivity

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Climatology
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design