Proof of Concept of The Range Ignition Probability (RIP) Tool
Abstract
The past two decades have seen increasingly large and violent wildfires and this is expected to continue into the foreseeable future. Incendiary munitions, increasing range use, a disproportionate rate of rare species presence, and fire promoting invasive species outbreaks make military installations particularly vulnerable to this trend. Assessing wildfire risk and determining best management practices requires accurate information about where fires are likely to start as ignition location can make a dramatic difference in fire outcomes. Actual ignition location data from years of training is the ideal, but in the vast majority of cases this is not available. The RIP Tool is designed to fill this information gap. We partnered with the Army Research, Development, and Engineering Center at Picatinny Arsenal in New Jersey to modify their ballistics models for use in the RIP Tool. The RIP Tool is based on a probabilistic surface danger zone (SDZ) methodology developed by Picatinny arsenal which considers a wide variety of physical parameters as well as aimer error. It is coupled with a robust ricochet model based on laboratory and field experiments to determine ricochet probability and trajectory. This model is capable of simulating SDZ's for stationary and moving targets as well as baffled ranges.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 2009
- Accession Number
- ADA534569
Entities
People
- Andrew M. Beavers
- Keith Olson
Organizations
- Colorado State University