The Effect of Activation Policies on Accession and Continuation in the Army Reserve Components: The Annualized Reserve Component Activation Cost of Leaving Model

Abstract

This paper examines how policies on mobilization, personnel management, and compensation affect the decision to join the Army Reserve Components and the decision to continue in service. We derive and estimate a behavioral model of these decisions, which may be employed to predict the manpower consequences of alternative policies. Our results indicate that while the great majority of the population of young men is disinclined to serve in a mobilized condition, an important minority will perceive mobilizations positively. Accessions and continuation rates are sensitive to the frequency and duration of active duty. Plausible increases in expected active duty will result in relatively small reductions in continuation rates. Pay and bonuses have the capacity to reverse these losses. By contrast, accession rates will increase with reasonable increases in demand for active-duty time above current levels.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 2008
Accession Number
ADA535348

Entities

People

  • Colin Doyle

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Civil War
  • Department Of Defense
  • Dwell Time
  • Management Personnel
  • Markov Processes
  • National Security
  • Normal Distribution
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Recruiting
  • Recruits
  • Statistical Distributions
  • War

Readers

  • Military Mobilization and Reserve Forces Studies.
  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.