Russia's Future Energy Policies: A Glimpse of Moscow's Impact on EU and US Energy Security in 2025

Abstract

Russia has strategic importance from an economic and political perspective with its substantial energy resources, military strength, international connections, and influence. Currently the world's number two oil producer and number one natural gas producer, the state has strengthened control over its energy production and distribution. In addition, Russian companies have negotiated controlling stakes in refineries, pipelines, and the ports of neighboring countries. Analysts are split over how to assess Moscow's motives and the impact Russian policies will have on Western markets. To gain insight into Russia's intentions, along with the key trends and events that may shape the next 15 years, this paper will describe four scenarios involving Russia, the US, and EU in the year 2025. In order to provide realistic snapshots of a future Russia, this research will review Moscow's economic and political policies and examine recent events impacting Europe and the US. These scenarios intend to engage readers to reevaluate their assumptions about the future from a shared reference of discussion. The goal is to raise awareness and enable better strategic decision making to prompt the best outcome for Western and Russian markets and security interests.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 2009
Accession Number
ADA539846

Entities

People

  • Heather M. Baldwin

Organizations

  • Air Command and Staff College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Cis
  • Commerce
  • Congress
  • Energy Production
  • Energy Security
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Governments
  • Law
  • Middle East
  • National Security
  • Natural Gas
  • Petroleum
  • Renewable Energy
  • Seabed
  • Security
  • United States

Readers

  • Economics
  • Strategic Security Studies