Waivered Recruits: An Evaluation of Their Performance and Attrition Risk
Abstract
OSD-Accession Policy asked us to identify ways in which the Services can minimize the risk of misconduct separation and early attrition among waivered recruits. If the Services can identify recruit characteristics associated with these negative outcomes, they can use them as an additional screen. We obtained Service FY99-FY08 waiver and personnel information from the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC). We first characterized the demographic and military characteristics of waivered recruits. Next, we examined whether accession-related characteristics (such as ship month) or other personal characteristics (such as Tier 1 status) are associated with lower risk of misconduct separation or early attrition for waivered recruits. Performance measures included 6-, 24-, and 48-month attrition, as well as the likelihood of being a fast promoter to E5. For the Navy and the Marine Corps, we analyzed some additional performance indicators. Overall, we found that waivered recruits are not inherently risky and often perform better than Tier II/III recruits. There are, however, still ways in which the Services could minimize the "riskiness" of the waivered population. For example, some waiver combinations are more likely to lead to early attrition; additional screening or mentoring of these recruits could potentially decrease their attrition risk.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 01, 2011
- Accession Number
- ADA541209
Entities
People
- Dave Gregory
- Lauren Malone
- Neil Carey
- Yevgeniya Pinelis
Organizations
- Center for Naval Analyses