Defense Acquisition Research Journal. Volume 18, Number 3, Issue 59, July 2011

Abstract

Developing a weapon while in production does increase program risk and is sometimes cited as a reason for cost growth. This article explores the relationship between concurrency and cost growth in large weapon programs. The authors defined concurrency as the proportion of research, development, and test and evaluation appropriations authorized during the same years in which procurement appropriations are authorized. Their results strongly indicate that concurrency does not necessarily predict cost growth. Using classical regression techniques, the authors found no evidence supporting this relationship. To investigate other relationships between cost growth and concurrency, they also used a smooth curving technique. These experiments showed that, although the relationship is not strong, low levels of concurrency are more problematic than higher levels.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2011
Accession Number
ADA546309

Entities

Organizations

  • Defense Acquisition University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Airframes
  • Business Administration
  • Commerce
  • Computers
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • Information Systems
  • Knowledge Management
  • Management Personnel
  • Military Research
  • National Security
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Space Systems
  • Students
  • Systems Engineering
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Public Financial Management and Budgeting
  • Regression Analysis.