Decision Modeling for Socio-Cultural Data

Abstract

In this paper, we present initial findings from a research effort to build a business intelligence platform that incorporates data-driven models, such as Bayesian belief networks, and goal-driven models, including multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), into a geospatial environment to support decision making for campaign management. Our development approach supports tactical level commanders at the brigade, battalion, and company level, providing operationally relevant information on the relationships between factors driving the insurgency and leverage points for planning and executing more effective operations. The Decision Modeler tool will be used to support counterinsurgency and stability operations by allowing users to interactively construct MCDA models to evaluate and compare alternative outcomes for specific lines of effort. MCDA is a discipline that supports decision making in the presence of several conflicting or uncertain factors, while assisting the decision maker identify the objectives, factors and metrics to support the decision goals. This process is designed to support the analyst from early planning of an operation, through the selection of evaluation criteria, automated population of relevant socio-cultural data, to the generation and calculation of alternative ranking scores.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 2011
Accession Number
ADA549368

Entities

People

  • Alper Caglayan
  • Dustin Burke
  • Laura Stroh
  • Will Morgan

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Business Intelligence
  • Commerce
  • Counterinsurgency
  • Data Analysis
  • Demographic Cohorts
  • Environment
  • Insurgency
  • Low Intensity Conflict
  • Military Research
  • Operations Management
  • Platforms
  • Predictive Analytics
  • Stability Operations
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Uncertainty

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Agent-Based Social Robotics and Mobile-Assisted Learning in Virtual Environments.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy