Comparison of Development Test and Evaluation and Overall Program Estimate at Completion

Abstract

Historically, cost growth regression models analyze aggregate, program-level information. Initiatives by the Office of Secretary of Defense, Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (OSD CAPE) require direct, centralized reporting of the complete Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) Earned Value (EV) data. Centralized reporting allows access to unfiltered, unaltered, EV data for multiple programs. Using regression, we evaluate if WBS element Development Test and Evaluation (DT&E) EV data is related to program estimate at completion (EAC). Identifying a relationship provides evidence validating pertinence and reliability of low level EV data. Additionally, a relationship between a specific WBS element and program EAC establishes a basis for improved estimate development, and prediction capability. Our results show a strong relationship between DT&E and program EAC. Although limited by sample size and assumptions regarding DT&E commonality, our findings lead us to believe that there is potential for improved prediction models using low level WBS EV data.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2011
Accession Number
ADA549645

Entities

People

  • William R. Rosado

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Control Systems
  • Cooperative Engagement Capability
  • Data Analysis
  • Databases
  • Information Science
  • Reconnaissance Satellites
  • Reliability
  • Spacecraft
  • System Software
  • Systems Engineering
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Test Equipment
  • Test Facilities
  • Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
  • Warning Systems

Readers

  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Pulsed Power and Plasma Physics.