COIN 1.0 Formulation

Abstract

The Counterinsurgency (COIN) Model is intended to be a test bed for examining the important dynamics involved in the counterinsurgency environment. It is therefore designed to capture salient civilian population characteristics as well as Coalition and Insurgent kinetic and nonkinetic activities. The basis for this model is a civil violence model created by Joshua Epstein of the Brookings Institution. This peer-reviewed model captures the dynamics of spontaneous rebellions and does so with a striking paucity of model parameters. Epstein's model includes only two types of agents: civilians and cops. Civilians can be in one of three states: quiet, actively rebelling, or jailed. Civilians begin in a quiet state and actively rebel based upon their grievance toward an abstract central government and their assessment of the risk associated with rebelling. Civilians become jailed if cops can capture them while they are rebelling. The simplicity of the Epstein model, coupled with its comprehensive evaluation within the modeling community, makes it an ideal starting point for extending to create our COIN model.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 2010
Accession Number
ADA552516

Entities

People

  • Adam Mcleod
  • Emmett Beeker
  • Garry Jacyna
  • Laurie Litwin
  • Matthew Mcmahon
  • Matthew T. Koehler
  • Neal Rothleder
  • Sarah K. Mulutzie
  • Tobin Berge-hill
  • Zoe A. Henscheid

Organizations

  • MITRE Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter IED
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agent-Based Simulations
  • Cognition
  • Computers
  • Data Mining
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Explosives
  • Genetics
  • Graphical User Interface
  • Human Behavior
  • Human Population
  • Information Science
  • Political Systems
  • Psychology
  • Recreation
  • Social Psychology
  • Societies
  • Systems Engineering

Readers

  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Systems Analysis and Design