Revolutions in Science and Technology: Future Threats to US National Security
Abstract
The accompanying report provides a framework for evaluating S&T developments through the lens of their national security implications. This framework allows analysts to assess postulated technologies using a multi-tiered filtering process. The process consists first of a determination of whether the technology qualifies as a "weapon of mass effect," a term for which a new definition is provided. The next step assesses whether the technology possesses various qualities that would make it particularly consequentiaL These include: reduced barriers to acquisition; system integration; novel delivery means; self-propagation; novel radical empowerment; mitigation of effects; and diverse applicability. To illustrate the framework, the report examines eight technologies/capabilities that were identified as potential WME: ultrafast laser technology; genetically-engineered pathogens; advanced laser isotope separation; electromagnetic interference micro-jammers; botnet technology; circuit board hacking; quantum computing; and "E-bombs." The analysis of these technologies identifies the factors that may drive or inhibit their development, as well as the drivers/counter-drivers that influence their attractiveness from an adversary's perspective.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 01, 2011
- Accession Number
- ADA556778
Entities
People
- Dallas Boyd
- George W. Ullrich
- Jeffrey R. Cooper
- Lisa Andivahis
- Stephen J. Lukasik
- Victor Oancea
Organizations
- Leidos